Our ability to forecast future biological responses to ecological stressors is limited by the predictive accuracy of current ecological models. We have been evaluating a suite of traditional and non-traditional statistical approaches to determine which are most appropriate for continuous and binary data. This has led to improvements in our ability to effectively predict the effects of environmental variability on habitat availability, species distributions, and community composition.
Examples of current projects include:
- Quantifying uncertainty in climate change projections
- Quantifying uncertainty in environmental stressors
- Incorporating spatial processes into ecological models
- Incorporating temporal dynamics into ecological models